9:11AM
Wikistrat briefing on China slowdown (part 1 of 4)
Monday, October 8, 2012 at 9:11AM In March of 2012, Wikistrat ran a multi-week simulation that explored the possible future pathways for China as its encounters various developmental "walls" surrounding its attempted shift from extensive growth (more inputs) to intensive growth (more productivity) and thus avoid the so-called middle-income trap (i.e., it's far harder to shift from medium to high income than it is from low to medium).
Dr. Thomas P.M. Barnett Discusses the results and take-away insights from the simulation.
Part 1 of 4
tagged China, development, economy | in Tom video, Wikistrat | Email Article | Permalink | Print Article
China, development, economy | in Tom video, Wikistrat | Email Article | Permalink | Print Article 
Reader Comments (1)
Regarding the Chinese carrier and the future prospect of China sending a carrier group into the Persian Gulf:
While I am hesitant to underestimate the abilities of China to ramp up a Blue Water Navy, I am nevertheless incredulous they could, in even 15 years, come to be taken serious as a Naval power. The US for example has been launching carriers into the ocean since the 1940s. China has no measurable naval traditions and little experience beyond the immediate sphere of influence. In my opinion they have a long, long road ahead of them in regards to a serious naval force.