Supreme wiggle room

I just glance over the posts on the page and the attached comments and I realize you can basically write almost any possibility right now on Iran-US-Israel: plenty of people saying "when and not if" for almost every scenario out there.

That is "crisis" to most people, but it's also opportunity. That much in play from so many angles means there's significant wiggle room.

And that's when deals actually get done.

But don't expect most positions to un-harden. The closer you get to actual possibilities, the more strongly everyone argues for and against, so watch for signals galore from all sides, because all sides are deeply divided concerning the "wisdom" of any deal.

Comments

[Doug Freeman]

At last a break that will have some effect. The first signal was when we heard the OPEC minister in the past few weeks comment that Iran's daily oil output could not be replaced. Translate that to a clear message that the oil speculators who are roundly blamed for 1/3 of the jump in world wide price per barrels were betting on either Bush or Israel to take action before the end of his term. Take that scenario off the table, or even reduce the risk of it happening, and the upward pressure on PPB ends. Lets hope this effort to reduce the tension over Iran works. If only the Iranians would see that its in everyone's best interest for them to act like a world player rather than a rogue state. Albiet, that may be wishful thinking.

[farhad]

three short reasons why there will be no attack on Iran.1) oppositeof what every body think,Iran first response will not be Israel,but possibly Gatar,where the centcom is based with also maybe Suadi Arabia,that will bring oil prices to $200-$300/barrel.it is not that far like Israel.2) war means politics with another language,what is politics,it is regime change,and we know regime change needs bootson the ground,just listen to General Mullen,and he explains the streched thin siutation with even two fronts and not even a third one.3) and most important of all,it is Iraq,and Hakim and the green zone.so,oil and U.S economy,and also US miliery will not give the ability toattack IRAN.