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Recommend Predictable and good: Brazil the extra-regional military power (Email)

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ARTICLE: "President of Brail Unveils Plan to Upgrade Military in Effort to Be Global Power," by Alexei Barrioneuvo, New York Times, 19 December 2008.
Lula is having his Alexander Hamilton moment: he wants rising Brazil to have a military commensurate with its global economic interests. Read Hamilton's 1791 "Report on Manufactures": he wanted a defense industry right from the start. The problem with a nuke sub fleet, though (along with China's move toward a carrier) is that these are relics--by and large--of 20th-century naval power. They're simply copycatting our legacy force structure. Not a bold step into the future in a technological sense (these guys aren't gearing up for Leviathan war and simply wouldn't survive that process politically as regimes). They want to create many-and-cheap SysAdmin forces to stabilize and pacify. So the learning curve remains steep, even as the instincts here are dead-on. But think about it for a second: what is the nuke sub scenario for Brazil that justifies a "fleet"? Maybe a couple two-three as a capability, but keep it real. These things are very expensive to operate.


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