Where the Brief began
Friday, April 3, 2009 at 4:54AM REPORT: Underkill: Scalable Capabilities for Military Operations amid Populations (pdf), By David C. Gompert et al., Rand, 2009
I did the original global futures scenario planning for the directorate (when it was still just the Marines' shop) approximately 12 years ago. The purpose of the drill was to test the sensitivity of nonlethal weapons across a variety of global futures.
What it found? They were valuable in basically all future paths.
The docs that resulted:
"The U.S. Marine Corps and Non-Lethal Weapons in the 21st Century: Summary Report," by Henry J. Kenny, John J. Nelson, Thomas P.M. Barnett and Butch Foley, Center for Naval Analyses, Quick Response Report CQR-98-8, Sept. 1998.
"The U.S. Marine Corps and Non-Lethal Weapons in the 21st Century: Alternative Global and Regional Futures," by Thomas P.M. Barnett and John J. Nelson, Center for Naval Analyses, Quick Response Report CQR-98-9, Sept. 1998.
"The U.S. Marine Corps and Non-Lethal Weapons in the 21st Century: Annex B--Briefing Slides," by Thomas P.M. Barnett, Center for Naval Analyses, Quick Response Report CQR-98-10, Sept. 1998.
Why I mention?
The briefing slides were the original version of "The brief" ever to see publication. I had originally made the brief (as I noted in PNM) for a EUCOM study. It was rejected by the project leader. I made the brief happen anyway with support from Hank Gaffney. It was later used (and greatly expanded and revamped) here.
The Marines directorate eventually became the Joint one. These reports were made to the USMC Deputy Chief of Staff for Plans, Policy and Operations.
That brief ran 124 slides. I delivered it once, down at Quantico. I don't use any of those slides now and haven't in years, but it's what started the whole ball rolling. It also became the basis for the one class (elective) I taught at the Naval War College on scenario planning. The students gave me such high feedback marks that I received a $500 teaching bonus.
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