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3:23AM

Final reflections on the Fallon article in Esquire

A lot of analysis has been offered from a wide variety of angles, all of it trying to parse out the meaning and impact of the entire sequence of events, and some of it trying to assess responsibility among the various actors involved, including myself.

After giving it a lot of thought, here are my final reflections.

With any project like this, I see four essential components: the article, the reporting, the subject and its behavior and the dynamics that behavior creates, and finally, the response to that subject/behavior/dynamics--both popular and authoritative.

I bear responsibility, along with Esquire, for the first two components.

The article was not the proximate cause for Admiral Fallon's forced resignation, the reporting was the proximate cause. The ultimate cause was clearly the White House's response to his pattern of behavior in the job. For those who agree with that pattern of behavior, as I did, the response seemed disproportional and unwise. For those who disagreed with that pattern of behavior, as the president clearly did, the response was proportional and justified. Each side in this debate can cite plenty of good precedence and logic, and those who will tell you that it was a "clear-cut case of" anything are simply shrouding their interpretation in rhetoric. The job of combatant commander is obviously complex and subject to wide-ranging interpretation. That will only become more true in the future, given the complex nature of the long-term conflict in which we're engaged. That's what makes this story so important and simplistic readings of the rule book so painfully inadequate.

But there is no doubt that the president gets to replace commanders with whom he does not agree. That's the nature of our system. Once elected, it's the president's job to rule as he sees fit and it's the public's job to complain and push back as it sees fit. The press has a crucial role in the latter. Ultimately, the most heated questions arising from this affair involve the way this country is being ruled right now. I don't pretend to have all the answers there. I do know it is a subject of great contention and thus controversy, as it typically is during a time of significant overseas military interventions that generate casualties. That's why Esquire and I wanted to do the piece on Fallon. We felt the American people should know about this man's thinking and behavior, in his official capacity as Central Command commander, on the all-important question of how to approach the possibility of conflict with Iran, and to place that thinking and behavior within the larger context of his regional responsibilities. We felt the American people should be aware of the significant tension within the chain of command that this thinking and behavior generated. The question of whether or not America turns a two-country war into a three-country war is enormous. It was enormous back in 1951 and given the stakes, it's just as big now. Arguing that this debate is somehow privileged information or that the American public shouldn't be bothered with such knowledge is, in my opinion, dangerously wrong, as history has proven time and time again.

Knowing what I know now, I would indeed alter the article somewhat, but this is true of every article I've ever written. You don't have perfect knowledge upon publication. You argue the thing out from every angle you can conceive of and you make your best call on tone and content. I have worked with a number of publications over the years, and nobody takes this aspect of the work more seriously or attacks this responsibility more comprehensively than Esquire. As such, I am immensely proud and grateful to work with the magazine as a contributing editor.

Inevitably, as I would now change some aspects of the article, toning them down somewhat, there are just as many aspects that I would amplify more. Again, that it is the nature of the beast. The end result would not have been to alter the article significantly. It would remain powerfully cast and demanding of the reader's attention. That's Esquire style and it's my style. I seek to learn from every experience in this regard, and this article has provided plenty of learning.

If there is a weakness in the article, it's that we did not know exactly how close to the truth its reporting was. Again, perfect pre-knowledge would be fabulous to achieve, but I don't expect to achieve it next time either, so I try to get smarter through this experience and improve my personal judgment with time.

Several blog readers have noted the inherent tension between the task of being a reporter/journalist in this venue and my role as strategist or adviser in my ongoing interactions with all sorts of players spread throughout the national security community. That tension is real and it's something I seek to address every chance I get, but in general, I don't find it hard keeping the two functions separate. When people are being profiled in Esquire, they know it, as does everyone else involved. When I'm advising, I'm subject to all the same constraints as anybody else in this business. In both venues, I seek to remain as transparent as possible, arguing the truth as I see it and letting matters unfold as they must in response to that truth and its articulation. When that truth is no longer in fashion, neither will I be. That's the nature of the game: it happens to the best, it happens to the rest.

As for the reporting, there I wouldn't and couldn't change a thing. It was accurate and it was truthful. I am not surprised nor bothered by criticism of the article that seeks to divert attention from the underlying reporting. It's a natural response, but it's an ultimately futile one.

The reporting defined this piece. The reporting triggered the authoritative response. But that decision was ultimately about the behavior, and thus the only responsibility that matters in the end lies with those who made this response. Again, this is the nature of our system, in which I believe deeply.

What the reported behavior and the authoritative response say about the current state of civil-military relations in this country is something that will be debated for some time, I imagine. This is inevitable and it is good, because that debate overshadows everything and everyone involved in this affair.

Reader Comments (20)

Thank you. Well done. That's what I expected, albeit with impatience. I was very frustrated by your "no comment.....wish him well" reaction. Now I see your wisdom in letting broader reactions play out before making thoughtful observations/conclusions. One lingering question I have that you may not care to speculate on: Fallon must have gone into this with you knowing it would turn out this way. So do you think it accomplished what he intended?
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterDick H.
"What the reported behavior and the authoritative response say about the current state of civil-military relations in this country is something that will be debated for some time, I imagine. This is inevitable and it is good, because that debate overshadows everything and everyone involved in this affair."

I think this is absolutely true. My objection to the article was more about tone than anything else -- the dismissive rhetoric about chickenhawk neocons and trash-talking towards World War III and a President who can't tolerate dissent. That's all fine in an opinion piece, but in a profile where the subject is quoted so extensively -- nearly 1,300 words, you've said -- it's hard to see how Fallon could escape criticism for such close association with what in many places looks like an anti-Bush hit piece.

I can't help but think that the more overt political criticisms might've been toned down in a different venue. Maybe Fallon would have kept his job if he'd been profiled in Time instead of Esquire.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterChris Mewett
As I believe you know, I have been a disciple your approach since the day I finished your book, found you in China, and had the pleasure of sitting with you and the “Architect” in… well you know where. I believe that your approach and free markets are the answer to security (and, along those lines, I believe that Enterra’s Steve DeAngeles may be the true patriot with his focus in introducing free markets to the Middle East… and the personal risk he takes in doing so).

That being said, do you believe that the Esquire article and the subsequent fallout will inhibit your ability to influence the Military and Government in the future? Will you have the same access to power in the future to advance your message? I fear that the “baby may be thrown out with the bathwater” and perhaps you will become PNG in some circles over what the Military may see as a betrayal. While I must admit I’m one of those folks who was quite upset with the Esquire article (as you know from our email exchange), I am more concerned that your message will be lost as a result.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterAl Alborn
OK, so why did he resign instead of standing his ground and getting fired? And for that matter, is it really that easy to leave the military, by simply saying "I quit" and walking out? Or taking a final farewell trip to Baghdad to talk to your successor, as the case may be...

Adm. Fallon was obviously a shrewd judge of character and situation, so he did what he had to do, but I wonder if he could very well have won that argument in the White House. Does no-one argue with the president anymore? Or the vice president? Does no-one but the press try to keep them transparent, too?

Naive, I know--I'm young too. Young enough to ask the impertinent questions, I suppose.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterMatthew Garcia
I'd respectfully take issue with one of your choices of words. A couple of times you say that it is the President's job to "rule." Isn't that really the problem with our government? Does the President's constitutional status as the head of the Executive Branch and as the Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces really make him the "ruler" of the country? It seems to me that there is an important difference between being an executive decision-maker and being a "ruler." This may be pettifoggery, but I don't think so. My view of our constitutional system is that it requires that all decisions be subject to constant re-evaluation and fine-tuning among all of the participants in the government. No decision should ever be deemed final or non-reviewable. Thus, under a proper view of how our constitution ought to work, I don't think that the President should "rule as he sees fit." He can make decisions, but again, I don't see that as being the same thing as "ruling." Without sounding like a paid political announcement, I would recommend the chapter in Obama's "Audacity of Hope" in which he descriibes his philosophy of constitutional law as being a system of government that requires an ongoing "conversation" among all branches of government. I found it quite sophisticated and refreshing.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterstuart abrams
Could it be that the President/Vice President and Gates/Fallon did not disagree with each other as to how to handle Iran (or, for that matter, China)?

That this "appearance of disagreement" was simply a traditional disceptive ploy -- which was discussed, determined, and agreed to by all parties before Admiral Fallon's assignments -- its ultimate purpose also being traditional: to keep the opponent off-base, to cause him to let down his guard, and/or to cause him to move in a desired direction?

(As has been noted, Admiral Fallons reputation, certainly before going to Centcom, was exceptionally well known. Thus, could the assignment of Admiral Fallon to Centcom, in part, have been designed to utilize his reputation -- but actually for the administration's true purposes?)

In this scenerio, the media is "used" by the leadership.

However, in allowing the Tom/Esquire interview, these individuals determine that they have overplayed, and/or improperly played, their hand -- or that it has outlived its usefulness -- and, thus, determine to move on and work a new and different angle?
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterBill C.
"My objection to the article was more about tone than anything else -- the dismissive rhetoric about chickenhawk neocons and trash-talking towards World War III and a President who can't tolerate dissent."

Dittos, Chris. And Tom, thanks for your updated thoughts on the events!
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterBlair
This opera isn't over yet. We won't know for a while, but its possible this article may play a role in helping forestall poorly thought out and premature actions in Iran, despite the imediate negative fall out. In addition, if the next administration has any brains at all they will figure out a way to bring Fallon back into the circle of useful work.

Ironically, all the hoo-rah will also draw more attention to an excellent piece that goes through the nuts and bolts of miding the Gap.

Thanks for for such an important article.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterKurt W.
I think there are two seperate issues here:1) Substance of Adm. Fallon's comments, up to and including his strategic vision, views on possible use of force vs. Iran, etc. Reasonable people can, and should, disagree about those. Reasonable people can, and should, disagree with some or all of what the Administration is doing. However...2) Does Adm. Fallon make national/strategic policy, or does he implement it? I think, under our going-on-three century system of civilian control, the latter. He can, and should, provide his advice on national/strategic policy to the JCS, SecDef, and President. Once they decide on the policy, his job is to say "Yes Sir," and figure out the best way to implement that policy. He is certainly free to disagree--how many serviing officers agree with every order they are given--but when the President/Administration decides on policy, it is an order, to him no less than to the newest Seaman.If anyone in the military finds themself unwilling or unable to carry out a lawful order for reasons of conscience, or simple disagreement with that order because they think it is "bad" policy in the sense it won't accomplish stated goals, or because they think the policy is just incorrect, their recourse is NOT to publically disagree. He might be 4 stars, but making national/strategic policy is above his pay grade.And make no mistake, his comments to Al Jazeera and to Tom, and to others, is a public repudiation of the policy set by the civilian leadership. It is immaterial whether that policy is good or bad, correct or incorrect. So long as it is legal, his repudiation is the same as refusing a lawful order. Lincoln and Truman and FDR (over Adm. Richardson objecting to moving the Fleet to Pearl) faced the same issue, and dealt with it. At the end of the day, I think Adm. Fallon realized he had stepped over the line.Some of this may have to do with the elevation of the role of the Comb. CINCs. But, for all their new power, and their "new" role in the chain of command, they are still serving officers. They may make military strategy, but only to carry out the policy set by the (or any) Administration. They don't have to like that policy, they may disagree, but as long as they wear the uniform they must carry it out.The article was probably--given Tom's knoweledge and skill as a journalist, and ability to really understand the implications of what his subject was saying--accurate that Adm. Fallon was standing in the way of an attack on Iran. But that is not the job of any officer. That is the decision for our civilian leadership. And by making clear his disagreement was (and perhaps active hinderence of) the Administration's policy, Adm. Fallon had to go--whether or not that policy was good, or wise, or not.Bill WeisbergNB: I thought Max Boot and some of the others were over the top, particuarly in their descriptions of Tom. But I think Boot was largely correct that Adm. Fallon appearing to take force off the table made the ultimate need to use force that much greater. A credible threat of force--even as the unspoken elephant in the room--does wonders in allowing diplomacy to work.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterWilliam Weisberg
I wonder if Admiral Fallons will someday write about the role he played?
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterLouis Heberlein
Comprehensive, well-wrought, and much desired summary by supporters and, I take it, critics (I'm there from time to time, myself). For Mr. Abrams, I took "rule" and "ruler" as magisterial rather than dictatorial, and CinC is final ruler on questions of great import. Also dittos to Chris, I'm always surprised, and disappointed, when I run into snark as opposed to sober critic in TPMB's work - distracts from the message, for me. But, then, as a gray Boomer, I guess I may mistake the modern razor- keen wit for snark?
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered Commentermike in VA
Arguments that military officers on active duty must obey all orders from superiors are based on the rather questionable premise that the orders are proper and legal. When the ground is shaking and the air is rent with the thunder of explosions we can more readliy accept the premise that officers in combat must obey their orders. The battle space is no debating gallery. However, we must look at policy matters differently. An officer of Fallons rank and position has a responsibility to the nation. History has numerous examples of armies that blindly followed the orders of fools or madmen. I am not suggesting that the President is either a fool or a madman but he could be wrong. If a decision made in the Whitehouse is the wrong decision, and it has the capacity to do great harm, are we to expect no desent from our highest ranking officers? I believe we need more men like Fallon.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterTed O'Connor
A great post. I think that Fallon was looking for a way to get out. Both Fred Kaplan at Slate and Alan Arkin at Early Warning at the Washington Post have it that Fallon had lost a turf war with Petraeus and had been reduced to being a "hall walker," no longer in the loop. He knew that the article would get him fired, presumably to get him free to comment in retirement.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterJohnShreffler
Mike - I thought of that. Judges make "rulings" but they don't (or aren't to supposed to) "rule as they see fit." I think there's a difference. And don't forget - The President is Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces, but not the Commander-in-Chief of the United States of America. On questions of national policy, like whether or not to go to war, it is particularly important that the President not behave like a "ruler." I'm not getting into this nitpicking as criticism of Dr. Barnett, whose work I admire and from what I've read, I think he would agree with me on this. It just caught my eye as a possibly minor point of language that might nevertheless say a lot about our country's current problems.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered Commenterstuart abrams
mike in VA -- I'm 28. I don't think that's the problem.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterChris Mewett
Fallon complained about the president's misplaced priorities when he had the same problem giving priority to Afghanistan and Pakistan over radical, messianic revolutionary Iran as the most important front on the war against Islamic extremism.
March 14, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterBruce Sterling
Since 1979 Iran has been at war, mostly using proxies, with globalization, the West and primarily the United States. They have been and remain the biggest problem in the region. Covert Ops by the Israelis, the Brits, the Aussies or anyone else should probably destroy their only oil refinery but ... whoever does it ... the US will most likely, get the blame.

How else to implode the Mullah's rule? Diplomacy only works from a position of strength.

Most Iranians hate the rule of the Mullah's. Remember they were educated and free, their women were liberated, under the Shah. They remember.

Fallon's real motivation or role? We can only guess .... but there are very good thought patterns in this comment thread.
March 15, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterVoteWithTroops
A nitpick on the Fallon article. Even a world recognized "großartiger Stratege" as yourself needs friends at the tip of the spear. Fallon was not a "fighter pilot" but a Naval Flight Officer. I'm no touchy about things like that, but I'll bet there are others who are.
March 15, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterDon Morrissey
Pretty clear to me there is a faction in the Pentagon who have seen their strategic (or lack of) vision waining the last few years, and the event here was a clever try on their part to silence one critic (Fallon) by blaming another (Tom).

I'm glad to see you won't carry their guilt for them.
March 15, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterGalrahn
A further reflection, analysis published in Tom's Knoxville News column, Sunday, October, 26, 2008
October 26, 2008 | Unregistered Commentercritt jarvis

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