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No, that doesn't mean pulling
out of Iraq precipitously, but it does argue, as former Bush
administration policy planner Richard Haas (who held the George
Kennan position at State) states, "for minimizing the scale,
visibility, and duration of U.S. military presence in the region."
Some of that is accomplished by concentrating U.S. ground troops in
the friendliest local countries, like Kuwait or, in the future, the
Kurdish portion of Iraq that seems destined to become independent.
Some is accomplished by maintaining much of our presence off-shore in
naval capabilities. But where we have to keep significant numbers of
uniformed personnel on the ground for lengthy peacekeeping and
counter-insurgency operations, like in Iraq, it also means making any
overt military presence as multinational as possible and likewise
avoiding any overly "occidental" cast. If we cannot shape our
interventions in such a way as to attract allies from the East, such
as the Russians, Indians, Chinese and even Iranians and Turks in the
specific instance of Iraq, then we do more than invite their
indifference; we also invite their meddling. Russia has ambitions
for developing Iraq's energy sector and India and China will
inevitably need access to those energy reserves. As for Iran and
Turkey, they are the two obvious regional integrating entities for
Shia Iraq and Kurdish Iraq, respectively, with Saudi Arabia, Jordan
and Syria playing that role for Sunni Iraq. Disputing those
underlying realities is self-defeating, because America cannot
simultaneously make a federated Iraq safe enough, stable enough, and
somehow
connected to the global economy unless all of these actors' demands
are minimally addressed.