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Find the original at www.cominganarchy.com/archives/2005/01/27/battle-of-the-books/#more-241

My commentary follows:


Battle of the Books

Over the past month I read the two following books:

The Pentagonís New Map

Americaís Secret War

Now itís time for my hard-hitting review as the optimistic futurist takes on the old school hardened analyst in a battle that decides the fate of our world!

Let me first tackle PNM: This book is a must read for anyone interested in current events. This is some of the best ìthinking outside of the boxî that I have seen in a while. Barnettís theory of the Gap and the Core really makes sense, and he takes it one step further with his suggestion that rules change depending on which group you are in. ìDisconnectedness defines dangerî is an eloquent and well-structured argument that fleshes out the truly underlying attributes of the problematic theory that ìdemocracies donít war with one another.î The few complaints I have about this book, include the following: I found it far too repetitive, you could probably shave off about 50 pages; and it reads like a repackaged Manifest Destiny. This book is definitely written for Americans. I agree with his point that the US contains the ìsource codeî for liberal democracies, but I felt that he over-emphasized this, disregarding the numerous fully functional alternative ìcode branchesî out there, and their ability to contribute to ìa future worth building.î

Now onto Americaís Secret War. George Friedman, the founder of Stratfor, makes an analysis of the US war on terror starting prior to the 9/11 attacks and ending with Abu Ghraib. The interesting thing about this book is Friedmanís ability to guide the reader through complex geopolitics; it is almost like reading a good Clancy novel. Each event is lined up precisely with an accompanying logical explanation and analysis. Unfortunately with the lack of any references it all seems like a well-constructed fairy tale, told in 20/20 Hindsight-o-vision. If only he provided footnotesÖ Friedman is a great analyst but his ìorder of battle analysisî skills are not on par with true historians like Sir John Keegan. In any case this book is a great lesson in geopolitical analysis and sure gets you looking at events with a different lense. Although a must read for die hard armchair cold-warriors and geopoliphiles alike, I wouldnít recommend it to ìregular folkî like I would PNM.

These two books turned out to be on very different topics (future vs. the past), and are written by very different authors (new school vs. old school), but I was glad that I read them in close succession. One of the niggles of PNM is that it feels like he is calling for all Core nations to hold hands and sing from the same page together in shrinking the Gap. This, in my realist upbringing, is an impossibility, comrade. But while reading Friedmanís concise description of the geopolitical landscape, with alliances being formed and broken depending on the task, I realized the profundity of Barnettís grand strategy. For all his idealism of ending war in our world, Barnett wasnít necessarily saying that we all had to work together all the time, he does leave room for variances in foreign policy. His is truly a grand strategy, leaving the day-today geopolitics to guys like Friedman.
That is my short take on these books. So what is the fate of our world? WellÖ not necessarily the same as it has always been. But in the meantime there will be that familiar struggleÖ

COMMENTARY: Mr. Coming Anarchy gives me the usual slap-down of those who really like the book but want to offer criticism: too repetitive, too self-congratulatory (America rules!) and too long. Fine. He scores his point. Bigger point is that he gets it for what it really attempts to be: a serious attempt at grand strategy that doesn't focus on the tactics of today and isn't just a long bitch-session about what the author can't stand about the Bush administration's security and diplomatic policies. He also sees the book as accessible, which is key, and views me as new school (definitely not another Kissinger or Brzezinski). This is all good, so I take the quibbling in stride. Mr. Coming Anarchy, despite the bias of his nom-de-scare, knows his rear-end from his elbow in terms of strategic analysis, and that, my friends, is rare in this world.


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