I've been preaching this one directly to the Chinese on trips going back to 2004: as you become the face of globalization, you will run into all the same hatreds that America has long endured--and then you'll want a different military than the one you've been wasting your money on.
From a WAPO piece earlier this month via reader David Emery:
In a spasm of violence this spring, an angry mob toppled the Kyrgyzstan president, torched his office and ransacked other buildings associated with his hated authoritarian regime. The crowd then turned on a less obvious target: a popular Chinese-owned shopping mall stuffed with cheap clothes and electronics from China.
An easy dynamic to spot, and even easier for me to have predicted years ago:
As China pushes beyond its borders in search of markets, jobs and a bigger voice in world affairs, a nation that once boasted of "having friends everywhere" increasingly confronts a problem long faced by the United States: Its wealth and clout might inspire awe and wary respect, but they also generate envy and, at times, violent hostility.
The "ugly Chinese" will compete, side by side, with the "China model"--bet on it.
Yes, no question that Central Asia's future is a whole lot more Chinese than Russian. Just don't expect it to be a cake walk for anybody.
With great power comes great responsibility--and great envy.