The Pentagon's New Map, published 2004, page 380 under "ten steps towards this future worth creating," number 3:

Iran will experience an overthrow of the mullahs' rule by 2010 . . .

I hate predictions as a rule, and the sequence wasn't about predicting but rather imagining the best path forward. I always thought that one was optimistic, even writing it in the summer of 2003.

And yet . . .