If I go with my norm nowadays and include the Balkans in the Core, and then add in Turkey as well (critical regional mass argument), the match-up with the panic map is awfully close. Forgive Indonesia's contagion because it's a Seam state unlikely to be considered Gap by anybody in a decade's time and you're down to just the island of the emirates (superconnected) buried deep inside the Gap. Appreciate that for the beachhead that it is.

Remember, the map was a snapshot, not a permanent divide. I expect it to shrink and it is. In many ways, then, this might be the best current depiction we can muster.

You map the vectors of contagion and that gives you the outline of the coherent body.

Commensurately, Greenland is totally out mister!