I don't see Pyongyang going away quietly
Saturday, May 19, 2007 at 6:07AM
Thomas P.M. Barnett

ARTICLE: Report: U.S. willing to make peace with North Korea by September, EAST-ASIA-INTEL.COM, World Tribune, May 18, 2007

OP-ED: 'Pyongyang's Perfidy,' By John R. Bolton, Wall Street Journal, May 18, 2007, Pg. 17

Like John Bolton, I remain very wary of rewarding North Korea on its nukes because no one's threatening Pyongyang (unlike Iran, where we've taken down regimes left and right) and because I don't think Kim will denuclearize in return (unlike with Israel v. Iran, there is no strategic imbalance to correct, so why would Kim give up a clear advantage?).

Iran, we have to find a place for in the future Middle East. It's a real country that's been around for centuries, not some post-WWII creation. The DPRK really has no future. They know it. We know it. Everyone knows it. All the Cold War-divided states are gone--except North Korea.

A peace treaty that lays the way for a slow economic buy-out of North Korea would be very welcome, but remembering how East Germany took detente (part of my dissertation), I just don't see Pyongyang going away quietly. It's either a bang or a rapid collapse. Either way, with this approach I fear North Korea's going to have a number of nukes that will complicate matters greatly.

Neither Clinton nor Bush will be fondly remembered at that point.

Thanks to Dan Hare for sending the World Tribune article.

Article originally appeared on Thomas P.M. Barnett (https://thomaspmbarnett.com/).
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