Just when you thought there was no more good/depressing news on Iraq/Afghanistan
Friday, November 19, 2004 at 8:11PM
Thomas P.M. Barnett

"A Bit of Wall St. on the Tigris: Iraq Stock Exchange Isn't Waiting for the War to End," by Don Kirk, New York Times, 19 November 2004, p. W1.

"Afghan Poppy Growing Reaches Record Level, U.N. Says," by Carlotta Gall, New York Times, 19 November 2004, p. A3.



Neat story about the small-but-still humming stock exchange in Baghdad. Focus for now is on banks (no surprise there), but the amount of money changing hands each day is minor ($2m or so) in an Iraqi economy of roughly $25B/year. Of course, that economy is overwhelmingly based on oil right now, but having a stock exchange is all about trying to change that. What's missing in the equation? Traders give the obvious answer: foreign investments. Why? Lack of securityóplain and simple.


But at least Iraq has somebody dreaming about a better future. All Afghanistan has is a near record heroin crop. Guess what that gets you? A countryside where drug lords rule and farmers do as they're told. When you don't make the SysAdmin effort in Afghanistan, toppling the terrorist regime gets you the makings of a narco-state. When that happens, all the "savings" from your transformed Leviathan's victory are essentially dissipated, setting you up for another drive-by regime change down the road.

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